What Are the Odds of Roe v. Wade Being Restored?
Prediction markets on Roe v. Wade restoration track the probability of federal abortion protections being re-established through either Congressional legislation or a future Supreme Court decision. These markets provide a more nuanced signal than polling because traders must assess not just public opinion but the realistic political paths to restoration.
Key factors that traders monitor include Congressional composition, potential Supreme Court vacancies, state-level legal developments, and the political calculus around abortion as a campaign issue. The odds shift with election results, court rulings, and legislative activity.
Because this topic involves multiple branches of government and long time horizons, prediction markets are particularly useful for synthesizing the many variables into a single probability. The current market data is available below.
Live prediction markets
No active markets matching this question right now.
Markets appear when traders create them on Polymarket. Check back soon or browse trending markets.
Trade these markets for real
Think you know the answer? Put real money behind your predictions on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform.
Start trading on PolymarketFree to sign up. Start trading today.
Related questions
Who Will Win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Real-time prediction market odds on the 2028 US presidential election. See which candidates traders are backing with real money. Updated hourly.
How to Predict Election Results
Learn how to use prediction markets to forecast election results. Better than polls alone. Real-money odds, historical accuracy data, and methodology.
Who Will Win the Democratic Primary?
Real-time prediction market odds on the Democratic presidential primary. See which candidates traders are backing for the Democratic nomination.
What Are the Odds of Trump Winning?
Live prediction market odds on Trump winning. Real-money data from thousands of traders updated in real time. See probability and trade volume now.
Explore more prediction questions