Outcalled

Market Movers

Real-time probability changes on the world's biggest prediction markets

Updated 1:47 AM

Biggest Gainers

Flyers vs. Islanders

Flyers vs. Islanders

$2.0M volume today

100%

+58.5%

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

$375K volume today

100%

+26.4%

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$9.8M volume today

84%

+17.0%

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

$1.7M volume today

89%

+14.0%

Raptors vs. Grizzlies

Raptors vs. Grizzlies

$538K volume today

99%

+11.3%

Magic vs. Mavericks

Magic vs. Mavericks

$817K volume today

84%

+11.0%

Hawks vs. Nets

Hawks vs. Nets

$853K volume today

100%

+7.4%

Celtics vs. Bucks

Celtics vs. Bucks

$595K volume today

100%

+6.5%

Pelicans vs. Kings

Pelicans vs. Kings

$534K volume today

68%

+5.0%

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

$321K volume today

100%

+4.2%

Biggest Losers

Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva

Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva

$616K volume today

0%

-60.5%

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

$240K volume today

0%

-53.3%

San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkate

San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkate

$228K volume today

0%

-51.4%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins

$317K volume today

0%

-49.5%

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

$4.3M volume today

0%

-44.5%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

$263K volume today

0%

-36.4%

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

$215K volume today

28%

-12.0%

Pacers vs. Hornets

Pacers vs. Hornets

$1.4M volume today

0%

-11.5%

Bulls vs. Knicks

Bulls vs. Knicks

$1.4M volume today

0%

-9.4%

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

$341K volume today

35%

-8.0%

Highest Volume

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$9.8M volume today

84%

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

$4.3M volume today

0%

Flyers vs. Islanders

Flyers vs. Islanders

$2.0M volume today

100%

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

$1.7M volume today

89%

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

$1.5M volume today

0%

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$1.5M volume today

1%

Pacers vs. Hornets

Pacers vs. Hornets

$1.4M volume today

0%

Bulls vs. Knicks

Bulls vs. Knicks

$1.4M volume today

0%

Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

$1.2M volume today

0%

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

$1.1M volume today

19%

Near 50/50

The most uncertain markets right now. The crowd is split.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals

Yes 48%No 52%
$299K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 54%No 46%
$321K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Blues vs. Ducks

Blues vs. Ducks

Yes 45%No 55%
$638K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Spurs vs. Nuggets

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Yes 56%No 44%
$233K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

Yes 60%No 40%
$471K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37%No 63%
$536K todayTrade on Polymarket →
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 35%No 65%
$341K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 34%No 66%
$238K todayTrade on Polymarket →
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe

Yes 33%No 67%
$230K todayTrade on Polymarket →
Pelicans vs. Kings

Pelicans vs. Kings

Yes 68%No 32%
$534K todayTrade on Polymarket →

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