Outcalled

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, co-hosted by the USA, Mexico, and Canada, is one of the most actively traded sports prediction markets. With the expanded 48-team format, prediction market odds reflect a complex assessment of team quality, group draws, and tournament form.

Traders assess squad depth, qualification performances, coaching changes, player injuries, and historical tournament pedigree. The expanded format introduces new dynamics that prediction markets help price, including the increased probability of upsets and the value of favorable bracket positioning.

Sports prediction markets are among the most efficient due to their high liquidity and the wealth of data available to traders. The odds below represent the consensus of thousands of traders who have analyzed every angle. See who the smart money is backing.

41

Active markets

$9.6M

24h volume

Quick answer

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Based on $667K in 24h trading volume

1%

Yes probability

Trade this market on Polymarket

Live prediction markets

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
-0.1%

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$667K today

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
-0.1%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$654K today

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14%
+0.5%

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$565K today

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
+0.1%

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$421K today

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$417K today

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
+0.1%

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$336K today

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5%
+0.1%

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$324K today

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
+0.1%

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$301K today

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
+0.2%

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$290K today

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12%
-0.4%

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$273K today

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$240K today

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$237K today

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
-0.1%

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$228K today

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$220K today

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$204K today

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$202K today

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$202K today

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$195K today

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$195K today

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$190K today

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$188K today

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$187K today

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$185K today

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$182K today

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$166K today

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$162K today

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$161K today

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$159K today

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$158K today

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$157K today

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$147K today

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$142K today

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$139K today

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$138K today

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
+0.1%

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$138K today

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$137K today

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$136K today

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$136K today

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$130K today

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$124K today

Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%

Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$120K today

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