Outcalled
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?

2%

probability

-12.0%

24h change

$269

24h volume

$2K

liquidity

Yes

2%

No

98%

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Quick call

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?

Resolution Criteria

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Market ends May 26, 2026

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