Outcalled
Will Trump dance today?

Will Trump dance today?

5%

probability

--

24h change

$460

24h volume

$287

liquidity

Yes

5%

No

95%

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Quick call

Will Trump dance today?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

Market ends April 24, 2026

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