
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?
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75%
probability
--
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$6K
liquidity
Yes
75%
No
26%
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Quick call
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?
Resolution Criteria
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Market ends April 17, 2026
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