Outcalled
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

3%

probability

-2.1%

24h change

$227

24h volume

$2K

liquidity

Yes

3%

No

97%

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Quick call

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Market ends May 31, 2026

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