
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
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1%
probability
-0.7%
24h change
$4K
24h volume
$41K
liquidity
Yes
1%
No
99%
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Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: December 31, 2025


