Outcalled
Will Mark Rutte say "Putin" during his speech on April 9?

Will Mark Rutte say "Putin" during his speech on April 9?

48%

probability

--

24h change

$10

24h volume

$74

liquidity

Yes

48%

No

52%

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Quick call

Will Mark Rutte say "Putin" during his speech on April 9?

Resolution Criteria

Mark Rutte is scheduled to give a speech at 11AM ET on April 9, 2026 at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation Institute. (https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2026/04/03/nato-secretary-general-to-visit-the-united-states-of-america). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Rutte says the listed term during the speech scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 11AM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Mark Rutte's remarks at the event scheduled for 11AM ET on April 9, 2026. (See: https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2026/04/03/nato-secretary-general-to-visit-the-united-states-of-america). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Market ends April 9, 2026

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