Outcalled
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

40%

probability

--

24h change

$273

24h volume

$3K

liquidity

Yes

40%

No

60%

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Quick call

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Market ends February 28, 2026