Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
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84%
probability
-0.5%
24h change
$0
24h volume
$1K
liquidity
Yes
84%
No
16%
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Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Market ends February 28, 2026