Outcalled
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

probability

--

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$16K

liquidity

Yes

30%

No

71%

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

Market ends: December 31, 2026

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