
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Share:Trade this
30%
probability
--
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$16K
liquidity
Yes
30%
No
71%
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Natural Disaster in 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Market ends: December 31, 2026


