Outcalled
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

47%

probability

-2.5%

24h change

$525

24h volume

$21K

liquidity

Yes

47%

No

53%

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Quick call

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends May 31, 2026

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