Fed Rate Odds: Live Interest Rate Prediction Data
Fed rate odds from prediction markets provide the most accurate real-time view of where traders expect interest rates to go. Every FOMC meeting generates significant trading volume as market participants price the probability of rate cuts, hikes, and holds.
The markets below track Fed policy expectations with real money from thousands of traders. These odds complement tools like CME FedWatch and provide an additional signal for rate path forecasting.
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Active markets
$3.0M
24h volume
0.2%
Biggest mover
Live Fed Rate Odds Markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
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Frequently asked questions
What are the current Fed rate odds?
Fed rate odds shift based on economic data, Fed communications, and market conditions. Check the live markets above for the latest real-money probabilities on upcoming FOMC decisions.
How do Fed rate prediction markets work?
Traders buy shares in specific rate outcomes for upcoming FOMC meetings. For example, 'Will the Fed cut rates in June?' Prices represent the market's probability estimate.
How accurate are Fed rate prediction markets?
Fed rate markets are among the most liquid prediction markets and have historically tracked closely with CME FedWatch probabilities, often providing earlier signals of shifting expectations.
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