Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
Share:Trade this
11%
probability
+1.5%
24h change
$669
24h volume
$12K
liquidity
Yes
11%
No
89%
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Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
Resolution Criteria
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market ends: December 31, 2026