
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
Share:Trade this
24%
probability
+4.5%
24h change
$259
24h volume
$18K
liquidity
Yes
24%
No
76%
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Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
Resolution Criteria
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market ends: December 31, 2026