
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Share:Trade this
65%
probability
+4.0%
24h change
$108
24h volume
$8K
liquidity
Yes
65%
No
35%
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Quick call
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Market ends: December 31, 2026