
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Share:Trade this
22%
probability
--
24h change
$11K
24h volume
$14K
liquidity
Yes
22%
No
79%
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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: April 30, 2026