Outcalled
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

21%

probability

-1.0%

24h change

$176

24h volume

$7K

liquidity

Yes

21%

No

80%

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Quick call

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Market ends: December 31, 2026