Outcalled
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

14%

probability

-0.4%

24h change

$27K

24h volume

$311K

liquidity

Yes

14%

No

86%

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Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Market ends: May 16, 2026