Outcalled
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

2%

probability

+0.1%

24h change

$23K

24h volume

$52K

liquidity

Yes

2%

No

98%

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Quick call

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Resolution Criteria

On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299 This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market ends: June 30, 2026