
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Share:Trade this
69%
probability
-8.0%
24h change
$37K
24h volume
$45K
liquidity
Yes
69%
No
32%
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market ends: December 31, 2026