Iran Nuke before 2027?
Share:Trade this
11%
probability
+0.5%
24h change
$9K
24h volume
$97K
liquidity
Yes
11%
No
90%
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Iran Nuke before 2027?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Market ends: December 31, 2026