Outcalled
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

0%

probability

-0.3%

24h change

$0

24h volume

$0

liquidity

Yes

0%

No

100%

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Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market ends: December 31, 2026