Outcalled
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

45%

probability

-28.0%

24h change

$73

24h volume

$19K

liquidity

Yes

45%

No

55%

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Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market ends: June 17, 2026